empty
 
 
12.11.2024 01:48 PM
USD/JPY: Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

Today, the Japanese yen is struggling to find support, trading between lackluster gains and minor losses against the U.S. dollar. It appears that market participants believe Japan's political landscape may hinder further tightening of monetary policy by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Moreover, the BoJ's October meeting summary revealed a division among policymakers on the prospect of another rate hike.

Additionally, expectations that U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's policies may drive inflation higher, limiting the Federal Reserve's ability to ease monetary policy, continue to support elevated U.S. Treasury yields. This is another factor undermining the yen. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar index has climbed to its highest level since early July.

However, Japanese authorities could potentially intervene in the forex market to stabilize the national currency and limit its losses.

From a technical perspective, the recent breakout above the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and a close above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (of the July to September decline) favor the bulls. Furthermore, daily chart oscillators remain firmly in positive territory and are well below overbought levels, supporting a short-term bullish outlook for the pair.

As a result, further movement toward the multi-month peak near 154.70 appears plausible. Beyond this level is the significant psychological barrier at 155.00, and breaking it could accelerate momentum toward intermediate resistance at 155.65–155.70, ultimately targeting the round figure of 156.00.

On the other hand, the breakout point at the 61.8% Fibonacci level near 153.39 now serves as immediate support, followed by the 153.00 round level and horizontal support at 152.60. Any further short-term correction is likely to be seen as a buying opportunity near the 152.00 round level, capped by the 200-day SMA. Below this lies last week's swing low, located near the 151.27 area.

A decisive break below this level could trigger technical selling, pulling the USD/JPY pair toward the 151.00 psychological level and potentially lower.

This image is no longer relevant

Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Depósito al azar
    ¡Haga un depósito en su cuenta de $3,000 y obtenga $5000 más!
    ¡En Noviembre, sorteamos $5000 dentro de la campaña Depósito afortunado!
    Obtenga la oportunidad de ganar depositando $3,000 en una cuenta de operaciones. Tras haber cumplido esta condición, se convertirá en un participante de la campaña.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • Opere de forma inteligente, gane un dispositivo
    Recargue su cuenta con al menos $500, regístrese en el concurso y tenga la oportunidad de ganar dispositivos móviles.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO
  • 100% de bonificación
    Su oportunidad única de obtener un bono del 100 % en su depósito
    OBTENER BONO
  • 55% de bonificación
    Solicite un bono del 55% en cada depósito
    OBTENER BONO
  • 30% de bonificación
    Reciba un bono del 30% cada vez que recargue su cuenta
    OBTENER BONO

Recommended Stories

¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback