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23.06.2021 11:17 AM
Overview of the US market (06/23/2021)
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US stocks continued to rally on Tuesday. Dow Jones rose 0.2%, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq jumped 0.5% and 0.8%, respectively.

Nasdaq even hit a new all time high of 14.253 points.

So all in all, the US market grew by about 2%, after declining sharply last week. Most likely, it will continue to climb and perhaps reach new record highs.

Following this growth, Asian markets also hiked this morning. China indices gained 0.6%, while Japan indices retained their rates.

The oil market also rose, by approximately 0.8%. Now, Brent is trading at $ 75 - $75.30, while WTI costs $ 73.30. US reserves also fell over the week and decreased by as much as 7.2 million barrels. This indicates the continued growth of the US economy, and also helps push oil prices upward.

Talking about economies, the European Central Bank said they are discussing the possibility of allowing inflation beyond 2%. Council members matched this to the Federal Reserve's decision, pointing out that inflation has been below the target level for a very long time. They said it is good to give inflation some time to stabilize before controlling it.

Recently, inflation has become a hot topic for central banks, especially after US inflation skyrocketed to 5% year-on-year. But the Fed retained its super-soft monetary policy, and promised a rate hike only in 2022. As for bond purchases, the US central bank said they need more time to discuss how and when they will reduce it.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell also said that inflation will not remain at very high levels, and will return to at least 2.5% in 2022. According to him, the rate is high right now because prices are rising sharply amid supply shortages. But soon, these problems will be solved, so prices will go back to acceptable levels. As such, Fed projects US inflation to reach 3.4% in the 3rd quarter, and return to 2.4% in March 2022.

In terms of the real estate market, average home price in US rose by a record 24%, reaching $ 350,000. The boom is observed in both the market of ready-made houses and construction.

With regards to the epidemiological situation, the total number of new COVID-19 infections in the world rose again to 370,000, but is still 2.5 times lower than peak records. According to latest reports, new cases in India jumped to 80,000, while new cases in UK climbed to 60,000. As for US, new cases were around 11,000.

Going back to the markets, the rise in oil prices is supporting the oil sector and the DJIA, but the leader of growth is the technology sector, which showed a 0.8% growth, thanks to the continued soft policy of the Federal Reserve.

Hence, S&P 500 reached 4.246 points, and is expected to range at 4.200 - 4.280 points today.

Meanwhile, the USD index slipped to 91.70 points, and may value around 91.40 - 92.00 points today. Growth will most likely halt until there is new data on inflation.

As for USD/CAD, the cost is currently 1.2310, but it may fluctuate around 1.2220 - 1.2360. The pair will consolidate until dollar shows a new and strong movement.

Conclusion: Markets await upcoming US data, which are scheduled on Thursday and Friday. There is a chance that indices will hit new all-time highs.

Jozef Kovach,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
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