Analisis Forex & Kajian: 18.08.2023 - EUR/AUD: strong bullish...

18.08.2023 04:23 PM

EUR/AUD: strong bullish momentum

The Australian dollar remains under pressure. It is weakening not only against the U.S. dollar but also against major currencies in popular cross pairs, particularly the EUR/AUD pair.

At the end of the month, fresh consumer inflation data will be released in Australia, and if it confirms a slowdown, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will likely pause interest rate hikes at its September meeting. If the interest rate is increased, it would likely be the last hike in the current cycle of tightening monetary policy by the RBA, which is expected to be a bearish factor for the Australian dollar.

The situation at the European Central Bank (ECB) is slightly different, with a different approach to monetary policy changes. Preliminary data shows that the Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased to -0.1% in July (from +0.3% previously) and +5.3% year-on-year (from +5.5% the previous month). Nevertheless, unlike the RBA, the ECB does not plan to pause its interest rate hikes, which will support the euro, economists believe. The difference in approaches to monetary policy changes will likely contribute to further strengthening of the euro against the Australian dollar.

Next Tuesday, fresh business activity indicators will be published in Australia, and on Wednesday, in Germany and the Eurozone, which could give the EUR/AUD pair a new boost.

Since mid-August of the previous year, EUR/AUD has been rising and continues to maintain positive dynamics, trading in a bullish market above key support levels of 1.6100 (200 EMA on the daily chart) and 1.5770 (200 EMA, 144 EMA on the weekly chart). A break above the May 2020 and this week's high at 1.7063 would open the way for the pair to rise towards the upper boundary of the upward channel on the weekly chart and levels of 1.7200 and 1.7270.

The OsMA and Stochastic indicators on the daily and weekly charts are also on the buyers' side, with the Stochastic not leaving the overbought zone, indicating a strong bullish impulse.

An alternative scenario, if it occurs, would involve a break of the crucial short-term support level at 1.6836 (200 EMA on the 1-hour chart) and a decline towards support levels of 1.6625 (200 EMA on the 4-hour chart) and 1.6550 (50 EMA on the daily chart). A deeper correction is currently unlikely.

Support levels: 1.6958, 1.6863, 1.6625, 1.6600, 1.6550, 1.6230, 1.6100, 1.6020, 1.5770

Resistance levels: 1.7060, 1.7100, 1.7200, 1.7270, 1.7300

Anda telah pun menyukai siaran hari ini

* Analisis pasaran yang disiarkan di sini adalah bertujuan untuk meningkatkan kesedaran anda, tetapi tidak untuk memberi arahan untuk membuat perdagangan.

Jika anda mempunyai sebarang soalan berkaitan kandungan, sila hubungi editorial-board@instaforex.com

Trading plan

Jurij Tolin,
Pakar analisis InstaForex
© 2007-2025

Lebih banyak artikel daripada pengarang ini

Langganan E-mel

EURUSD

Euro vs US Dollar

Pilih carta masa

min

jam

hari

minggu

Mulakan dagangan

Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.

Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Bagaimana untuk Berdagang Pasangan GBP/USD pada 23 April? Petua Ringkas dan Analisis Dagangan kepada Pedagang Baharu

Bagaimana untuk Berdagang Pasangan EUR/USD pada 16 April? Tip Ringkas dan Analisis Perdagangan untuk Pedagang Baharu

Cadangan Dagangan dan Analisis untuk GBP/USD pada 23 April: Adakah Pasaran Ingat Di Mana Butang "Jual"?

Cadangan dan Analisis Dagangan untuk EUR/USD pada 23 April: Volatiliti atau Pembetulan?

GBP/USD: Rancangan dagangan untuk Sesi A.S. pada 22 April (Ulasan Dagangan Pagi)

EUR/USD: Rancangan Dagangan untuk Sesi Amerika Syarikat pada 23 April (Semakan Dagangan Pagi)

Bagaimana Membuat Dagangan Pasangan GBP/USD Pada 22 April? Tip dan Analisis Dagangan Ringkas untuk Pedagang Baharu

Bagaimana untuk Berdagang Pasangan EUR/USD pada 22 April? Petua Ringkas dan Analisis Dagangan kepada Pedagang Baharu

Cadangan Dagangan dan Analisis untuk GBP/USD pada 22 April: Tiada Perubahan untuk Pound

Cadangan dan Analisis Dagangan untuk EUR/USD pada 22 April: Ribut Baharu di Pasaran

Analisis terbaik