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23.12.2024 02:48 PM
USD/JPY:分析及預測
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今天,在歐洲時段的前半段,日元繼續處於美元的陰影之下。投資者對日本銀行加息的意圖保持懷疑態度。最近,由於美聯儲的鷹派立場,美國債券和日本債券之間的收益率差距擴大,這給低收益的遠東貨幣增加了額外的壓力。

此外,上週五公佈的日本強勁的通脹數據,讓市場對日本銀行可能在一月或三月進行加息抱有一絲希望。地緣政治風險和日本當局可能干預市場以支持本國貨幣的猜測,可能會抑制看空日元的投資者。此外,在美元回撤時的重新買入,幫助美元兌日元在美國消費者信心指數發布前進一步推進。

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週五接近155.95的低點提供了立即支撐以防止進一步下跌。若跌破該水平,可視作接近155.50水平橫向區域的買入機會。下一個支撐位與心理155.00水平相連。若該水平被突破,短期趨勢將偏向空頭,使得USD/JPY易受進一步下跌的影響。

另一方面,157.00整數位為最近的阻力,隨後是157.45水平及週五達到的多個月高位。若超過158.00水平將被視為新的看漲觸發,並得到日線圖上正向震盪指標的支持。從那裡,USD/JPY可能上升至158.45的中間阻力位,然後嘗試重新獲得159.00的關鍵心理障礙。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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