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16.10.2024 02:58 PM
XAU/USD。分析與預測
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今天是黃金交易連續第二天出現正向偏好。

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在持續的地緣政治風險中,由於缺乏有關中國財政刺激的詳細資訊,投資者感到失望,這削弱了對風險資產的興趣。這在股市的疲弱氛圍中顯而易見,成為支持黃金作為避險資產的關鍵因素。與此同時,投資者的風險厭惡情緒正壓低美國國債收益率,進一步支持黃金價格。

然而,市場對聯邦儲備局更加謹慎的貨幣政策放鬆預期的增長,加上對11月預期降息25個基點的希望,對美國債券收益率產生利好影響。結果,美國美元上升到兩個月來的最高水平,抑制了看漲交易商在黃金中建立新頭寸的意願。

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從技術角度來看,任何進一步的上漲都會遇到九月份歷史高點$2685-2686附近的阻力。超過此水平則是$2700的心理關口,若能穩定突破,可能開啟多月上升趨勢的延續,這得到了日線圖上正向振盪指標的支撐。

另一方面,立即支撐位在$2655附近,若跌破該水平價格可能降至下一個支撐位$2630。進一步的下跌可能吸引買家,但會受到關鍵水平$2600的限制。若此水平被決定性突破,可能引發技術性賣壓並開啟更深的跌幅。

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Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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